Prime Minister Narendra Modi is going to conduct around 30 political rallies for the Bihar assembly elections this time as well. Earlier Narendra Modi had made several announcements in view of the Bihar assembly elections. And attended the opening ceremony. But will the NDA be able to win the Bihar assembly elections only on the basis of Narendra Modi? This is a great question.
There is no doubt that Prime Minister Narendra Modi is very popular in Bihar. And JDU and BJP want to take advantage of this popularity although Chirag Paswan has increased the difficulties of BJP and JDU. Due to the recent demise of Ram Vilas Paswan, the Lok Janshakti Party is seen benefitting in the Bihar Assembly elections.
Prime Minister Modi will do 30 political raili for Bihar assembly elections
Prime Minister Narendra Modi is going to hold 30 political rallies for the Bihar Assembly elections this time. Some of these Relia will be virtual. While some rallies will be held by Prime Minister Narendra Modi himself in Bihar. The Bihar assembly election is also important because this time BJP and JDU are contesting on equal seats.
This time Mukesh Sahni’s VIP party has also joined the NDA. Chirag Paswan’s Lok Janshakti Party has left the NDA. The Bharatiya Janata Party may suffer its loss in the Bihar Assembly elections.
In recent times, it has been seen that Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s popularity is steadily declining. According to a recent survey, at this time Prime Minister Narendra Modi is the choice of about 42% of Indians. In such a situation, you can guess how much the popularity of Prime Minister Narendra Modi has decreased. Around 58% of Indians had Prime Minister Narendra Modi at the time of the 2019 Lok Sabha elections. In such a situation, the declining popularity of Narendra Modi is not an auspicious sign for the Bihar Assembly elections.
Will Narendra Modi be able to stop a triangle assembly
Bihar Assembly elections have become even more exciting after the death of Chirag Paswan’s father Ram Vilas Paswan. Experts are hoping that sympathy votes can be won by Chirag Paswan’s party Lok Janshakti Party in Bihar Assembly elections. And this can directly benefit the Lok Janshakti Party.
In such a situation, the question arises whether this time in the Bihar Assembly elections, Narendra Modi will be able to stop the formation of a hung assembly or not. Every time assembly elections are held in a state, the party has been contesting in the name of Prime Minister Narendra Modi. .
It is generally seen that in recent times, the opposition parties are winning more in the state assembly elections. In such a situation, will the opposition parties be able to win in the Bihar Assembly elections too? It will be interesting to see. Rajasthan Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand and Punjab are examples of this. Where the Congress is in government or the Congress is in alliance.
BJP is more dependent on central leadership for assembly elections
In recent days, a big weakness of BJP has come out regarding the assembly elections. In most assembly elections, it is seen that the party is highly dependent on the central leadership. The BJP is constantly battling for leadership at the local level.
There is no doubt that the central leadership of the BJP is strong and big leaders like Amit Shah Narendra Modi JP Nadda are present with the Bharatiya Janata Party. But at the local level, leaders for the Bharatiya Janata Party are not able to emerge. If we look at the Bihar assembly elections itself, apart from Sushil Modi, there is no such big leader in the BJP in Bihar, who can take the party forward and perhaps that is why JDU has got the BJP Have to be constantly aligned with.
In Bihar assembly elections, BJP leaders are constantly demanding that this time the chief minister should belong to BJP. But due to lack of leadership, BJP is constantly looking at backfoot.
Dalit vote bank may increase BJP’s difficulty in Bihar assembly elections
In recent times, it has been seen that the cases of Dalit atrocities are continuously increasing. And there is anger among Dalits in India about this. In such a situation, Dalits can spoil the game of Bharatiya Janata Party in the Bihar Assembly elections.
The way the Yogi Adityanath government of Uttar Pradesh handled the Hathras gangrape case. Due to this, anger has become more prevalent among Dalits. The Bharatiya Janata Party was continuously building its vote bank among the Dalits. Now suddenly his vote bank has started to decrease. In such a situation, it is not auspicious sign for the Bharatiya Janata Party. And its loss may have to be borne by the Bharatiya Janata Party in the Bihar Assembly elections. In such a situation, it will be interesting to see how Prime Minister Narendra Modi counters this matter.
If we look at the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, about 34% of the Dalits voted for the Bharatiya Janata Party. In such a situation, it cannot be denied that Dalits also played an important role in bringing the Bharatiya Janata Party to the door of power. But now these dalits have emerged as a new problem for the Bharatiya Janata Party. Because the atmosphere in the country is getting stronger that the Bharatiya Janata Party is a high class party. This environment can harm the Bharatiya Janata Party in the Bihar Assembly elections as well.
Bihar assembly election is also important for central government
It is not that Bihar assembly elections are important for BJP only at the state level. Bihar assembly elections have become very important for the central government as well. In recent days, it has been seen that there is a conflict between the opposition parties and the government in the GST Council. Opposition parties have alleged that the government is not ready to pay part of their GST. And no decision is being made in the GST Council about this. Gradually opposition parties are dominating the GST Council. Which is not a good sign for the central government. In such a situation, Bihar assembly elections have also become important for the central government.
Experts say that the GST Council has been formed incorrectly. The central government felt that for a long time the government in the states of India would remain with the Bharatiya Janata Party. But this misunderstanding soon cleared up. And now the number of opposition parties in the GST Council is increasing. Therefore, the pressure on the government is constantly increasing. Even in terms of power, Bihar Legislative Assembly is important. After the formation of the GST Council, most of the financial powers have come to the GST Council. And if the opposition parties come to government in the council, most of the financial powers will go to the opposition parties. In such a situation, a powerless central government makes no justification. Which is not at all true for the Bharatiya Janata Party.
It is estimated that about 60% of the country’s tax system is governed by the GST Council. In such a situation, you can gauge the powers of GST Council in India.